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History Offers A Solution To U.S. Trade Deficit

Published 06/15/09 Richard Schmale - Print Article
E-mail - editor@economyincisis.org


The following article originally appeared on TradeReform.org and was written by Richard Schmale, a retired executive.

Anyone who examines U.S. trade and tariff history quickly learns that the USA did not practice free trade before 1933. From the early days of the republic until 1933, America practiced a policy of high tariffs expressly designed to protect domestic manufacturing. Over the period 1820-1933, tariffs ranged from 35 to 50 percent. Henry Clay and later Abraham Lincoln supported the policy. This "protectionism" actually worked well and America experienced great prosperity. The country developed a formidable industrial base that later helped us win two World Wars. In America's protected home market, industrial wages soon rose above those in Europe because American workers did not have to compete against foreign workers earning a fraction of their wage.

In 1933, the USA's trade policy underwent a complete and radical 180 degree paradigm change. Suddenly a successful century-long policy of protective tariffs was gone; gone and replaced by a new-to-the-U.S. policy of free trade. The principal agent of change in 1933 was Franklin Roosevelt's then new Secretary of State Cordell Hull. Hull was a former congressman and senator, and a co-sponsor of the 1913 bill creating the U.S. income tax. Hull considered himself a visionary on the subject of free trade which he was firmly convinced would create nothing less than world peace by eliminating trade rivalries that he believed were the principal cause of all war. Hull took his inspiration from Woodrow Wilson's famous 14 points for peace after the first World War, point 3 having been a call for "open trade". During most of the remainder of the 1930s and again at the close of World War II, Hull used his knowledge of the workings of Congress and the authority ceded him by FDR to have a series of trade bills enacted which codified his free trade philosophy; thus setting this country on the trajectory we are on today. Hull never envisioned a 2009 wherein American workers are forced to compete against third world workers paid as little as 30 cents per hour. Henry Clay and Abraham Lincoln would never have countenanced this threat to American wages. Nowadays, American manufacturers often transform into virtual shell companies which are merely importers that contract actual manufacturing overseas to save up to 90% and more on wage costs. Sometimes referred to as "labor arbitrage", outsourcing manufacturing is a pernicious business plan in which greed displaces a former sense of a shared community and a formerly implicit social contract among Americans. Outsourcing has a snowball effect because some companies may feel compelled to outsource in order to stay in business if their competitors have already moved manufacturing overseas to cut costs. The American worker is now expendable.

The 1933 radical paradigm change in U.S. trade policy and our experience since suggests a basic question, "Which policy worked better for U.S. manufacturing and jobs, the protective tariffs the U.S. employed before 1933 or the 'free' trade it has practiced since?" It would seem obvious that the 19th and early 20th century system of tariffs worked better for Americans than the free trade begun under FDR's administration. American manufacturing has seen a long decline under free trade that accelerated in the 1970s, two decades after World War II. A side by side comparison of historically practiced protectionism in the U.S. against free trade should trump arcane, convoluted and unrealistic hypothetical models of trade theory. Historically, in the real world, U.S. manufacturing did much better with protective tariffs than under today's free trade.

Given that history demonstrates that protective tariffs work, the U.S. should consider returning to a modest protective tariff system today. Unthinkable? Not so. Tariffs have been employed for thousands of years since the beginnings of civilization. Ancient Greeks and Romans used tariffs. An across the board protective import tariff of approximately 20 percent would protect U.S. manufacturing and jobs by offsetting cheap, 30 cents per hour, overseas labor rates and would provide needed revenue for the government (another historic purpose of tariffs). In the early 1900s, U.S. import tariffs on manufactured products averaged 44 per cent and yet world trade continued. Freighters still traversed the world's oceans. Modest tariffs will not extinguish trade but will inhibit the "bleeding out" of U.S. industry to those areas of the world with 30 cent per hour labor. No nation is required to commit economic suicide by allowing its industries to be captured by rivals whose only "comparative advantage" is cheap labor. Unthinkable to abandon "free" trade? Perhaps not. Just as the generation in power in 1933 amended "mercantilist" trade policy begun in the 1820s, today's generation may amend free trade policies begun in 1933. Each generation is a nation unto itself and must discern it's own needs.

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Article Comments From Readers

guest says "Cheaper wages are due to Money Printing out of thin air" on 11/05/09
I keep hearing complaints Americans won't work for lower wages or can't compete with lower wages. If Congress would read bills they sign and count things like VAT taxes, undervalued exchange rates by money printing out of thin air and requirements that to export in some countries you have to setup a joint venture with local partners as protectionism, the US would'nt be in this mess. If there was a free market for money; For example is the US was running a trillion dollar trade deficit with another country, then the country with the trillion dollar trade surplus should have an exponentially higher valuled exchange rate. So even though wages might be cheaper in the surplus country, based on exchange rates it would be hugely more expensive to import from that country. So no matter how educated Americans are with 10 masters and PHD degrees each it will always be cheaper to produce in a country that prints money faster than the US does. The country printing money faster than the US will have to worry about inflation longer term but in the short term as long as they can have as many high tech industries move there, they will look back and say it was worth it to print money out of thin air faster and gain technological know how. Also remember that Americans asking for higher wages is related to the value of money. If the purchasing power of money was stable then there wouldn't be a need for higher wages. So in effect most of America's trade problems are monetary in nature and are due to protectionist policies of our trade partners that are listed as free trade policies plus Congress sigining bills not read like giving tax breaks to outsource, and having US producers pay up to a 35% corporate income tax and should mention allows foreign goods from Protectionist countries to come in for free when Amercian exports are taxed in foreign countries heavily. Ask yourself a question, how can any US company remain competitve when there are requirements that to export in some countries you have to setup a joint venture with local partners so that your technology can be copied?

gspencer says "Economic Reform" on 07/28/09
We are preaching to the Chior. I do not think anyone else is listening.

Real wealth and real monetary value is created only when a country (or an individual family) sells something to parties outside of that country (or family) in return for a net transfer of gold or currency from other countries to that country (or family). The citizens of that country reflect their real wealth with the accumulation of grain, gold, cattle, jewels, land, commodities and/or other marketable products for reserve use in times of emergency and/or also to raise the standard of living for the citizens of that country.

biguru says "Re: China won't allow it" on 07/11/09
Having worked with the Chinese on mentoring industrialization strategies, I am sure the Chinese will allow trade adjustments if presented properly. Americans have a tendency to threaten the Chinese and have done so on many occasions and I was in the middle of it trying to make peace.

Everything is negotiable when both parties prosper. But do not send a dentist to do brain surgery. Chinese are not stupid.

guest says "China won't allow it" on 07/11/09
Nice theory, except we will be imposing tariffs on countries we are in massive debt to. I don't think they'd like that too much since a large chunk of their economy is based on our American consumers. China alone could crash our dollar overnight in retaliation.

guest says "Tariffs" on 06/16/09
Tariffs are necessary. However, the form of the tariff is important. " Each generation is a nation unto itself and must discern it's own needs".

The need today is for a tariff system that cannot be imitated by China, Japan and Germany (these 3 nations are the source of a sizable proportion of our current trade deficit).

The U.S. needs to create a tariff system that limits tariffs to imports from those nations that have a substantial trade surplus with the U.S.

Since the U.S. has a trade surplus with practically no one, this is a tariff system that cannot be imitated by our trading partners.

The trouble with traditional tariffs, the kinds of tariffs that the U.S. used before 1933 (tariffs by product indendent of country) is retailation. Traditional tariffs hit all nations. This creates the likelyhood of all our trading partners getting together and banning imports from the U.S.

So impose tariffs, but only the kind that will work in today's world, a world in which a few nations are creating most of the trade deficit in the U.S. and the U.S. has only a small trading surplus with only a few nations.

I almost hesitate to say this. The record shows that Franklin Roosevelt aimed not at free trade but at "Mutually agreed reductions in tariffs". Cordell Hull likely thought free trade was a good idea but Roosevelt was more practical.

Free trade did not become respectable in the U.S. until after WW II, when expansion of world trade became a weapon against Joseph Stalin during the cold war.

Free trade went from a useful tactic to an ideological necessity when freedom from government control became the answer to Stalinism. Ideology destroyed the power of the Soviet Union. China escaped from ideology to become a powerful nation. The U.S. is headed towards a second class economy unless it imitates China and modifies our ideology with pragmatism.

What will restore the importance of the manufacturing sector to the U.S. economy? Tariffs, rightlfully and carefully designed.


gspencer says "We are losing the technology war!" on 06/16/09
Scientific & Technology Education Option: If US citizens are not willing to work for lower wages than the foreigner workers employed in foreign countries are paid, then the USA cannot compete based upon lower labor costs. If we cannot compete on lower labor costs, then we need to be competitive internationally through other areas such as superior technology.
The USA is no longer the Technology leader that the USA was until the 1970's. Asian countries are now are the technology leaders. The best & brightest in the USA have become the inventors of worthless financial products that no one will buy.
If we had technically innovative products that foreigners did not have, then we could get higher prices for those products, until the foreigners copy our inventions and infringe upon our patents. As we have reduced our scientific and technology bases, the USA has not been the country creating any new inventions or products for years.
The USA must create superior engineers, superior medical doctors, and superior scientists so that we can regain the technological edge that we have lost in the last few decades. This will not be easy, but it must be accomplished immediately. Resources should be spent on this endeavor rather than Wall Street Mistakes and larger Government Expenses.
We must win the economic war in order to create funds to finance the fight to win the technology war.
Only high tariffs to prohibit imported products will create re-industrialization and manufacturing jobs for US citizens.
We need to reverse course of our educational system and re-emphasize science and engineering to create many more medical doctors, engineers, scientists, and educators as they did until the 1970's. The USA medical doctors, engineers, scientists, and educators must also become much better educated, much more intelligent, and otherwise much more superior to any foreign educated scientist and/or foreign educated engineer in order to design, create, innovate, and produce new technical products that foreigners do not have, so that the foreigners will then buy these new products from the USA, in exchange for their foreign gold and currency which will be sent to the USA companies.
Only if our products are technically superior can we export these products in return for their foreign payment (gold and US dollars) to the USA. We must also prevent foreign countries from pirating and/or copying our new innovative products. We might need to use the force of law and/or the force of our military might to prevent this pirating of our technology.

gspencer says "We need Prohibitive tariffs now!!!!!!!!!!" on 06/15/09
Dear Richard Schmale:

The answer is so simple. What can I do to help you get your message out to the public.

Only high tariffs to prohibit imported products will create re-industrialization and manufacturing jobs for US citizens.

The US government Free Trade Policies continues to trade title to US real estate, farms, agribusinesses, food supplies, dairies, forests, industries, breweries, hotels, factories, casinos, financial institutions, retail businesses, and most other assets located in the USA (in order to get US dollars back from the industrialized nations who earned these dollars by manufacturing the things that WalMart, Home Depot, NTB and etc. and other US businesses who import, distribute, and then sold to the US consumers) in order to pay for government expenses and the trade deficit.

The USA is racing to print money and then sell title to everything of value in the USA in order to keep from re-industrializing and/or working to produce the things that we consume. This is sort-of like selling our body parts to keep from working!

The only thing that will create/save US jobs, preserve/restore the buying power of the US Dollar is reversing the trade deficit, reducing government borrowing, and/or reducing government spending, to start re-building the USA gold reserves. Only a positive balance of trade will restore the value of the dollar, and we must accomplish this by any means possible, or accept third world poverty for the majority of our citizens. The only way to do this is to produce and export more (dollar value of) things than we import. The only way that we can accomplish exporting US made products is to re-industrialize and make these products, hopefully with mostly US materials & Labor. The only way that our products will be sold abroad is if these products are either technologically superior, or cheaper.

biguru says "Exactly" on 06/14/09
This is exactly correct and none of our leaders talk about it, let alone do something about it.

Nowadays, American manufacturers often transform into virtual shell companies which are merely importers that contract actual manufacturing overseas to save up to 90% and more on wage costs. Sometimes referred to as "labor arbitrage", outsourcing manufacturing is a pernicious business plan in which greed displaces a former sense of a shared community and a formerly implicit social contract among Americans. Outsourcing has a snowball effect because some companies may feel compelled to outsource in order to stay in business if their competitors have already moved manufacturing overseas to cut costs. The American worker is now expendable.