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Household Spending to Decrease for First Time in 16 Years

Published 08/11/08 Dustin Ensinger - Print Article
E-mail - editor@economyincisis.org

For the first time since 1992, U.S. household spending will likely decrease next quarter, according to Bloomberg News.

Analysts blame the waning effects of the $168 billion stimulus package, the surge in commodity prices - especially fuel and food - and the steady decline in consumer buying power as salaries fail to keep pace with inflation. They also believe that the odds of a recession occurring is more likely than not, putting the odds at 51 percent.

Spending is likely to grow at 0.6 percent through September, down from 1.5 percent the previous three months. The sharp decline is due to the fact that the impact of the tax rebates will be over by the fourth quarter of the year, as most remaining checks were sent out in July.


Source Bloomberg:

The U.S. economic slump will extend into 2009 as the longest expansion in consumer spending on record comes to an end, according to a Bloomberg News survey.

The world's largest economy will grow at an average 0.7 percent annual pace from July through December, half the gain in the first six months of the year, according to the median forecast of 50 economists surveyed from Aug. 1 to Aug. 8.

Household spending, which has grown every quarter since 1992, is projected to stall in the last three months of the year as the impact of tax rebates fades, wages fail to keep up with inflation and property values fall. The jobless rate, now at 5.7 percent, will reach a five-year high of 6 percent in early 2009.


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