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How to End the Subprime Crisis

Published 03/12/08 Paul Craig Roberts - Print Article
E-mail - editor@economyincisis.org

Reforms often do more harm than good. This is currently the case with the "mark-to-market" rule, which is imploding the U.S. financial system by requiring financial institutions to value subprime mortgages at their current market values.

This makes a big problem for balance sheets. These financial instruments became troubled prior to a market being established for them, as they were marketed direct from issuers to investors. Now that they are troubled, and with their true values unknown, no one wants them. Their lack of liquidity assigns them a low value.

The result is tremendous pressure on balance sheets. The plummeting value of subprime derivatives is pushing institutions that own them into insolvency, destroying their own stock values and forcing the financial institutions to sell untroubled liquid assets, thus resulting in an overall decline in the stock market.

The solution is to suspend the mark-to-market rule. Instead, allow financial institutions to keep the troubled instruments at book value, or 85 percent to 90 percent of book value, until a market forms that can sort out values, and allow financial institutions to write down the subprime mortgages and other troubled instruments over time.

Suspending the mark-to-market rule would take pressure off the stock market and make it unnecessary for the Fed to lower interest rates in an effort to force liquidity into the economy through an impaired banking system. The problem is not a general lack of liquidity, but liquidity for poorly conceived new financial instruments. Low U.S. interest rates could worsen the crisis by accelerating the dollar's decline. Now that inflation has raised its head, more liquidity from the Fed adds to the economic distress.

It is mindless to allow a "reform" to cause a financial crisis, but that is what is happening. Unfortunately, there are people who argue that anything less than financial Armageddon would create a "moral hazard."

It is certainly true that securitized subprime mortgage instruments were a bad idea, that a lot of people who should have known better opened floodgates to greed and fraud, and that "somebody should pay." But it shouldn't be the general public and the economy that pays.

It is also true that without the Federal Reserve's irresponsible low interest rate monetary policy, which produced a housing boom, the subprime instruments would not have been created, or at least not in such amounts. Rapidly rising real estate prices were expected to make the risky loans good. What were issuers and the Federal Reserve thinking?

There's no doubt that greed, fraud and bad policy all played their roles. But at the heart of the problem is a 1999 "reform" that repealed an earlier reform known as the Glass-Steagall Act.

In 1933, the Glass-Steagall Act separated commercial banking from the securities business. It prevented securities speculation from destroying bank capital and shrinking bank deposits from bank failures and runs on banks by depositors. Congress and President Bill Clinton foolishly repealed the Glass-Steagall Act in 1999.

The repeal of the 1933 law was driven by profit lust in the banking industry and by "free market" ideology, which claims the unfettered marketplace is always superior to regulation. In pushing the repeal forward, Congress and Clinton ignored warnings from the Government Accountability Office that the banks needed to build up their capital levels before being permitted to enter a broad range of securities businesses. The GAO also noted that there were no regulatory structures in place to monitor the new financial networks that would result from removing the wall between commercial and investment banking.

Greed and ideology won over sound advice, however. The result is a crisis that, if mishandled, will be calamitous.


COPYRIGHT 2008 CREATORS SYNDICATE INC.

Paul Craig Roberts is an economist. He served as Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Economic Policy in the Reagan Administration where he earned the nickname the “Father of Reaganomics.” He was an editor and columnist for the Wall Street Journal, Business Week and Scripps Howard News Service. In 1993, Forbes Media Guide ranked him as one of the top seven journalists in the United States. Currently he is a nationally syndicated columnist for Creators Syndicate and a frequent contributor to EconomyInCrisis.org.

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Unless the above article is already copyrighted, this article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-No Derivative Works 3.0 United States License, EIC grants permission to use this article in whole or in part provided attribution is given, preferably in the form of a link back to EconomyInCrisis.org.

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Article Comments From Readers

guest says "corporate greed is at fault" on 03/14/08
Greed, gross overpricing, underregulation and free market capitalism have led to this meltdown in the subprime mortagage mess.

The solution is not and never will be to bail out banks or lenders like Countrywide with taxpayer dollars. Rewarding greedy and irresponsible behavior, mismanagement and corruption only leads to more fould play.

Look at CEO Mozilo who received a $110 million dollar salary for doing a terrible job at Countrywide. His overpayment in salary creates financial harm to Countrywide but even more importantly sends a clarion message that CEOs can freely ruin a company lie, steal and cheat shareholders and still be rewarded with huge payoffs. Vice has become virtue.
If stupidity, greed and mismanagement pay such big rewards, why bother being honest hard working, trustworthy and responsible when crime pays so well?

Why should banks and lenders receive de facto corporate socialism at taxpayer expense? Why should CEO's like Mozilo or Ken Lay or others receive huge bonuses for gross financial mismanagement and oversight failure at shareholder expense?

They should not. ever.

The failures of free market capitalism and afailure to act ethically point to the need for government to cap salaries and strictly regulate all aspects of home oaspects of home buying and ownership. Consumer rights and protections must always be the highest priorities for our nation.

Ask not what you can do for your country. Ask what your country can do for you.Why?

Because the government is professionally paid and obligated by oath to work for the public interest. This means upholding our Constituion. This means insuring fairness in the marketplace. This means regulating businesses to prevent consumer theft and fraud and protecting shareholders investments.
Allowing free wheeling predatory CEOs and businesses to take advantage and wreck everything for their own benefit constitutues a national crime against not only the people of the United States but threatens the future solvency of our nation.
Why should the USA allow a small group of callous tycoons and international businesses to cast America into financial ruin for their own delight?

guest says "Are you kidding?" on 03/13/08
The lack of mark to market is what started this mess in the first place. More mark to myth is not the answer. The other issue is houses can't cost more than 3 times income for an extended period. The collateral behind the mortgage securities has a long way down to go. Suspending mark to market will result in a Japan style lost decade.

By the way, futures traders get marked to market at the end of every session, and that seems to work just fine. Why should banks be exempt?

guest says "Totally disagree." on 03/12/08
Lack of transparency is a big factor in this mess. What we need is more openness. Our financial system has zero credibility right now; it's time to get real.

guest says "How To End the Subprime Crisis" on 03/12/08
The sub-prime crisis is one aspect of the disintegrating economy. A partial solution will not work. The best solution is to bring buyers that can purchase these houses. This means the economy needs some people with good jobs, whose incomes are sufficient to buy the overproduced houses. Just some times ago you stated that the economy is losing jobs, and this trend would. It is true that outsourcing is destroying jobs, but free trade is the best policy for our economy. Our capitalists have to compete by becoming innovators and by producing new products that will have all the global market. When we have the edge our economy will be able to create high-paying jobs; consequently, people can buy houses and many other things. Our entrepreneurs are not competing and are blaming NAFTA and China. Our problem is because of the wars. No country spends on a war more than our leaders. They use a million dollar missile in order to destroy a target in Afghanistan worth five dollars. This does not make sense to many, but if you think about it deeply it does make sense. This is because the military complex will receive the one million dollars and oil prices will rise; hence, oil corporations make more profits. Do you remember that Iraq was free to be given by Saddam to us without a war, but our leadership decided to use the military way. Now, you know why. The military way provides more profits for oil corporations and the military complex; the peace way for taking a country provides neither. No one thought that these wars will have catastrophic consequences on our economy and people. These things will become worse as the wars continue. And 100 years from now, if we can make it, we are all dead and our leaders will be back to square one. Please help us out by showing that the wars are not the basic reasons for the stagflation our economy has been facing. Best Regards, Adil Mouhammed; Springfield, IL.

guest says "Only makes sense if assets are worth something" on 03/12/08
What good is it to allow them to keep it on the balance sheet when the collateral's true economic value is below the book value? I don't follow the logic.