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Japan’s Economy May Soon Pass U.S.

Published 09/04/07 Thomas Heffner - Print Article
E-mail - editor@economyincisis.org

Contrasting the American economy with Japans clearly shows that there is much room for improvement in our economic system. Unless policy makers make major changes quickly, Japan’s economy will soon surpass America’s. To put this in perspective, this is how America compares with a country as small as Japan:

  • Land: Japan is a country with only 4% of our land mass (smaller than California) and is 90% mountainous and infertile.

  • Resources: Japan has minimal natural resources - no oil, no coal, and no iron ore, no timber, just fish!

  • Manufacturing: To manufacture a product, Japan must import all of its required resources. Even after this expense, they have an $88 billion per year balance of trade surplus with America alone (their exports versus imports with America) (2006, US Census Bureau) and also accumulate one-third of the world's savings (US News & World Report, March 19, 2001).

  • Wages: Few Americans realize that Japanese hourly compensation costs in US dollars were nearly identical to that of US hourly compensation in 2005 according to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics.

  • Savings and Debt: The average Japanese family has a savings equivalent to $117,000 US Dollars (US News & World Report, March 19, 2001). American families in 2006 had a negative savings rate (we spent more than we earned).

  • Income Through Trade: Japan had the world’s second highest current account surplus (net trade plus interest and other income) next to China in 2006 of $170 billion while the US current account deficit including goods, services, income, transfers was a staggering $857 billion loss, the world’s largest, according to the US Department of Commerce and the International Monetary Fund.

  • Investment Income: Japan earned $118 billion on its foreign investments in 2006 and the US actually lost $7 billion according to the International Monetary Fund.

Japan must be doing something right! Better planning, direction, and a more responsive government are keys to their success. They have learned much from us and have improved on it. Perhaps it would be wise for us to study their improvements for our own benefit.

  • Interest Expense: The US public debt is almost 50% financed by other countries whereas Japan’s public debt is nearly 100% financed by its own citizens. Japan’s government borrows money at rates as low as 0.6% percent (sixth tenths of one percent) whereas the US government short-term rate is almost 8 times higher.

    To put this in perspective, the US government paid out over $405 billion to pay interest alone in 2006 on the nearly $9 trillion of government debt; that equals more than $1.1 billion per day in interest charges alone.

  • Foreign Reserves: Japan has foreign currency reserves (redeemable for foreign assets, corporations, resources, etc. on demand) of $909 billion. These are economic bullets poised to take out any American company, most of which are for sale on the open stock market. The US has foreign currency reserves of merely $66 billion.

America is a large country (2 1/2 times Japan's population and 2.3 times the labor force, plus much land and natural resources), but we are producing less, importing more, and borrowing more than ever before as well as selling our irreplaceable assets to pay for imports and debt. We have sold over 14,000 of our best companies to foreign interests since 1978.

  • Production: For example, Japan was the largest producer of steel in 2005 behind only China. Japan outproduced the US by 22 million tons. Furthermore, at least 20% of the domestic US steel industry is foreign owned according to the IRS and we import nearly 30% of the steel that we consume. Nearly none of Japan’s key industries are foreign owned.

  • Unemployment: Japan also had the lowest unemployment rate of all countries surveyed in 2006 by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics.

America's wealth was accumulated by previous generations, as we had world-beating manufacturing capabilities. America is presently relinquishing much of its manufacturing to outsourcing (giving away our technology and jobs to foreign companies and have them produce for us in their country thus totally dismantling our industrial base) and insourcing (subsidizing foreign companies to manufacturer in America to produce for their benefit and their profit, which quickly displaces many American-owned factories and entire industries).

We are becoming vulnerably dependant on foreign companies for jobs, products and loans.

American owned manufacturing is becoming obsolete and second rate. We are no longer competitive with Japan, China and others. We can’t compete with China’s wage rates, and Japan’s technology in manufacturing, we have become unquestionably second rate (auto industry is a prime example). Ask yourself in what areas does the U.S. lead the world?

America is the only major industrialized country which depends on foreign suppliers for large amounts of steel. It also depends on foreigners for critical inputs needed by strategic industries.

When you compare our strengths and weaknesses with Japan it’s so easy to see (but many do not want to believe it) that the U.S. is developing an economic profile of a 3rd world country masquerading as a superpower. How can we now afford to fight three wars (Iraq, Afghanistan, and the War on Terror) when we can’t even support ourselves?

Our present leaders are not coping with our problems or properly managing for our future. Where are we headed? Can't America do better?


Thomas Heffner is a commentator for EconomyInCrisis.org

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Unless the above article is already copyrighted, this article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-No Derivative Works 3.0 United States License, EIC grants permission to use this article in whole or in part provided attribution is given, preferably in the form of a link back to EconomyInCrisis.org.

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Article Comments From Readers

biguru says "rotting villages" on 12/24/08
There highly-skilled workers and quality craftsmen/women in the Japanese countryside live in boarded up and rotting villages.

That is fascinating if true. Imagine these people got advanced education and experience and stole all technology from USA in 60s and 70s...just to live in rotting villages. If innovation and high quality can come from these places, then 9th ward in New Orleans would have been the economic driver of Louisiana!

When I worked for Honeywell, our Japanese counterpart came to take training for a year to learn everyting there is to know about every facet of the business. Now that he knew all the Strength, Weakness, Opportunities and Threats including knowledge about our War room...I doubt he went back to live in a boarded up house while running the Strategy Department with the vision of overtaking us!

guest says "Comparing the incomparable " on 11/18/08
This piece points to published numbers from Japan and the USA and compare land mass, population, wages, imports, exports, steel output, foreign ownership percentages etc., to point out how the Japanese have learned and improved upon the American model.

Absolute rubbish mostly. Not the numbers, but what they compare, apples to mikan. Like America, economic news and the numbers presented for media consumption rarely give an accurate picture of mainstreet, and only present information on how well the investment/ownership class are doing.

There are no such sites like EconomyinCrisis for disclosing the realities of 'globalization' and 'free markets' and figures for the vast closures of Japanese small parts makers in automobiles and electronics, etc. in local communities. There highly-skilled workers and quality craftsmen/women in the Japanese countryside live in boarded up and rotting villages.

Without very rare skill-sets, you are shown the door and going to work in the unskilled sector if you're over 40 in continually restructuring corporate Japan. Most new-hires are not even staff, but the cheaper [for the company anyway] Manpower-type contracts. Most of these two-job-20-to-30-somethings in this Japanese hamster wheel don't pay into their social security and healthcare programs because they can't afford to.

Japanese counties now boast fewer than 10-20% of the population under 50 years old as the energy of their young chose the slavery of Tokyo, Osaka or Nagoya, and the stooped backs of the elderly care for what's left of food supplies ... That's another point, Japan can't feed herself.

This reminds me of a 1983 party in Tokyo I was attending shortly after arriving. A well dressed man [rather full-of-himself and un-Japanese in his forward manner I recall thinking then] snorted, "It's only a matter of time now. Japan is number one." "Number one what?" I was thinking when he continued, "That's why you came here, right? For the money?" About 8 years later chinks began to appear in the stoic banking sector and painfully later, the real estate loan bubble burst. Collective shame, repentance and scorn of conspicuous consumption then followed for some 12-15 years.

If and when the American elite decide that the time has come to declare that those security bonds of full faith and credit of the United States of America are, in fact, "only paper", a much truer picture of Japan's financial health will emerge.

But are such comparisons really comparable? America has been 'number one' for some time ... What has that meant to most Americans since the late 70s, but a slow and relentless economic bleed-out?

hourglass/tokyo

guest says "Great ariticle " on 07/25/08
And Great Site

Only a fool would debate the question that America is losing it's to soul to foreign interest. This is a great site for all American to read only sad part is the comment from complete fool who believe that we are not waste our resources. Wake up JackaZZes

guest says "From one "know it all."" on 09/29/07
You'd have to pop out your eyes to not see what is going on and the direction this country is heading.
As to what is happening abroad, my advisement is to care for our own country and it's citizens.

guest says "Oh Please........" on 09/27/07
So many "KNOW-IT-ALL'S here.

Nobody has a clue what the future holds if it's in America or abroad.

guest says "http://elainemeinelsupkis.typepad.com" on 09/26/07
"They save only because their system is collapsing." You must be an idiot!!! As an American living in Japan with a Japanese wife, I can tell you that this is the stupidest thing I have ever read. In addition, I don't know one single person with 2 jobs. My suggestion is to live by experience not by Internet knowledge.

guest says "There is one reason alone for the differences...." on 09/26/07
The Japanese are taught from an early age the principles of "Nationhood". They are not burdened by multi-cultural MADNESS like the US is. They maintain tight borders and very very few people are allowed to permenantly emigrate to Japan. By maintaining their countrys culture, heritage, pride and dignity they have something that the JEW-S-A has lost a long time ago.

guest says "IS THIS ARTICLE WRITER AN IDIOT?" on 09/26/07
AMERICA IS AT WAR YOU FOOL!!!

Comparing a country currently at war (and spending millions a DAY on that war) with a peace time country like Japan? You're a NONCE. FULL STOP.

guest says "Y no solo eso" on 09/17/07
El mundo financia a los Estados unidos, quiero decir unos cuantos super ricos como Japon, y Estados Unidos financia a esos super ricos, es asi de diabolico el mecanismo, el final es quizas la destruccion total del sistema capitalista, y la prueba de que este no funciona en realidad, quiero decir que la maquina productiva por si sola analquicamente no da para mantener una equidad sostenida, lo que hemos visto hasta ahora, sobre todo en America, es el desarrollo financiado por papeles de tesoreria, dolares que se pueden imprimir a diestra y siniestra para cubrir los desbalances que produce la economia capitalista analquica , pero al precio que ustedes mencionan, una deuda in crescendo, que quizas un dia no haya ni sufiente papel para imprimir la cantidad de intereses que va acumulando, solo es cuention de tiempo y una acumulacion exponencial, yo creo que el sistema pudiera colapsar totalmente, y tendriamos que irnos a una sociedad centralizada. Comunismo o nacional socialismo.

Suerte

Felipe R Valera

guest says "oddball" on 09/16/07
the funny thing about the American economic
melt down over the last 50 years
is that AMericans themselves are too filled with hubris to notice it's effect
compared to japan America is so far gone that even JApan's pale economy makes the AMerican economy look terrible
4 trillion owed by Japan is offset by 1 trillion owe them and the 70 trillion we have in debts makes their debt seem a manageable
Americans dont save they owe personal devts to the eyeballs
and this has caused the housing bubble pop still alot more grief coming for America I am afraid
Americans filled with hubris will be made to bow their heads in shame soon as they walk the breadlines for food

guest says "oddball" on 09/16/07
the funny thing about the American economic
melt down over the last 50 years
is that AMericans themselves are too filled with hubris to notice it's effect
compared to japan America is so far gone that even JApan's pale economy makes the AMerican economy look terrible
4 trillion owed by Japan is offset by 1 trillion owe them and the 70 trillion we have in debts makes their debt seem a manageable
Americans dont save they owe personal devts to the eyeballs
and this has caused the housing bubble pop still alot more grief coming for America I am afraid
Americans filled with hubris will be made to bow their heads in shame soon as they walk the breadlines for food

guest says "Fortress Japan" on 09/05/07
At http://elainemeinelsupkis.typepad.com, I talk a lot about Japan's economy and politics. The LDP is as responsive as the Soviet Communists and every bit as cruel. Japanese workers have seen declining wages! 24% of them WORK PART TIME JOBS, multiple jobs. I write about this a great deal!


Today, the government which has been pretending there is negative inflation had to admit the university graduates with degrees managed to eke out an $11 raise for a month's wages!!!!

My god. They save only because their system is collapsing. The goverment owes $4 trillion and holds a trillion dollars to keep the yen weak and the Japanese penned up at home, unable to buy anything by anyone else, not even the Chinese!

All this so they can have 0% inflation and thus, no interest loans for exporters and the government which is in the process of collapsing.


Whew. And there is more, more, MORE!

Elaine Supkis, editor and researcher for Culture of Life News